Wheat harvest in Ukraine may fall by 35%: analysis of satellite photos

Analysts predict that under the conditions of war, the performance of Ukrainian agricultural producers will be at least a third lower than in normal years.

Leading energy and environmental geoanalytics company Kayrros predicts that in 2022, due to the war unleashed by Russia, Ukraine will be able to harvest 35% less wheat than usual.

This is reported by the British edition of The Guardian.

According to an analysis of satellite images of the country, wheat production is likely to be at least a third lower.

Analysts say Ukraine is one of the world’s largest exporters of wheat, but the war is affecting agriculture and raising fears of shortages or higher prices around the world.

Last year, Ukraine produced about 33 million tons of wheat, of which it exported about 20 million tons, making it the sixth largest exporter in the world.

This year, in the conditions of war, the country has the potential to produce about 21 million tons of wheat, which is 23% less than the average for the previous five years.

With the war still ongoing and fighting concentrated in the country’s east, where the main wheat-growing regions are located, Kayrros estimates that the wheat harvest is likely to drop by at least 35% compared to 2021.

Ukraine has already imposed a ban on the export of grain and many other foodstuffs in an attempt to conserve food supplies. Harvested supplies could also be hampered as Russia blocks the country’s Black Sea coast.

Recall, during sowing-2022, Ukraine sowed 7.1 million hectares of land with the main agricultural crops, which is 49.3% of the 14.4 million hectares planned for the current season.

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