The expert noted that the occupiers understand the complexity of the situation, and that is why cases of desertion are becoming more frequent in their ranks.

Military expert Roman Svitan said that the Kherson-Crimean grouping of the Russian army may fall into the operational encirclement, because the armed forces will move towards the Sea of ​​Azov.

“The Zaporizhzhya Front is now 250-270 km wide and about 100 km deep to the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov. The density of Russian troops in this area is probably the lowest among the rest of the front, so they feel very insecure. Those Ukrainian reserves that were transferred from the right to the left bank of the Dnipro River, the Zaporizhia Front is also strengthened, where there are three prospective directions of the future attack of Ukrainian troops: from Orihiv to Tokmak and Melitopol, from Gulyaipol to Pology and Berdyansk, from Vugledar to Volnovakha and further to Mariupol,” he said Dawn for “Espresso”.

The expert added that the occupiers understand the complexity of the situation, and that is why cases of desertion are becoming more frequent in their ranks.

“Now the frosts have begun and it has dried up, so I believe that in the near future the Ukrainian troops will begin to carry out the task of crossing the Russian land corridor to Crimea and reaching the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov. After reaching the Sea of ​​Azov, the Ukrainian army will open the Russian corridor to Crimea and put it into operational mode the encirclement of the Kherson-Crimean group of the enemy The optimal option is to go to the Azov coast and then clear it from the Russians, because in a week or a half the enemy will run out of army supplies, so it will be possible to confidently clear a part of the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions from the Russians, and then enter to Crimea via Melitopol. There are three land corridors there: Arbatskaya shlika, Chongar and Perekop in the Armyansk region. We are already getting HIMARS to Armyansk, that is, it is a matter of the coming weeks,” Svitan explained.

The war in Ukraine: what is known

It should be noted that publicist Andriy Piontkovskyi shares Svitan’s opinion regarding the onset of armed forces. He believes that if Ukraine receives a set of weapons from the USA, it will be able to launch a major offensive in the Zaporizhzhia region in the shortest possible time. According to him, it is possible to “capture Melitopol, go to the coast, create a huge Kherson-Crimean cauldron, and capitulate to Russia.”

According to ISW analysts, the overall pace of military operations by the Defense Forces of Ukraine and the Russian occupation forces along the front line has slowed in recent days due to worsening weather conditions. But it will probably accelerate from the next few weeks.