To carry out this operation, reserves in technology are necessary, which the Russians do not currently have.

Currently, there is no strike group of the Russian occupation army on the territory of Belarus, which would be able to implement the task of capturing Kyiv. However, the Russian Federation may return to plans to seize the capital already in the spring of next year.

As military expert Vladyslav Seleznyov noted in an interview with OBOZREVATEL, in order for this military attack to be effective, the Russians need at least 50,000 well-trained and well-equipped forces and means. In addition, equipment, weapons, and ammunition are needed so that this group has the opportunity to operate not for three days, as it was originally planned in February, but for at least three to four weeks of active fighting.

“That is, this group should have colossal reserves. And they do not. Just as there is no such group of troops. Therefore, I would not worry that a large-scale attack on Kyiv may begin in the next few days. I refer all of us to the statement of the commander General Zaluzhny’s Armed Forces, who believes that a repeated attack on the territory of Ukraine is possible, and the Kiev direction is one of the three likely, along with the southern and eastern ones. to begin in the second half of January. But the Russians are acting very badly, so it can be said with great probability that all these movements will take place in March,” Seleznyov said.

Probability of a new attack on Kyiv: forecasts

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhnyi said that the Russian Federation is training about 200,000 new soldiers. He is convinced that they will go to Kyiv again.

“The Russian mobilization worked. It is not true that their problems are so dire that these people will not fight. They will fight. The tsar tells them to go to fight and they go to fight,” he said.

The Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Oleksiy Reznikov, also believes that Russia plans to launch a new wave of offensives in February 2023.

Ukrainian intelligence noted that offensive actions by the Russian Federation are possible, but the condition of its army has deteriorated during the full-scale war in Ukraine.

Commenting on the possibility of an attack by the army of the Russian Federation on Kyiv from the side of Belarus, military expert Oleg Zhdanov said that this border has been transformed into a “continuous fortified area”.