According to him, at least until spring, Ukrainians will be in a state of constant permanent missile threat.
Defense Express military expert Ivan Kyrychevsky reported that 9 months ago in the Russian Federation, the production of calibers and other cruise missiles was transferred to work in three shifts. The result of this decision of the occupiers appeared only now, in December.
On the Espresso broadcast, he recalled that back in March, the General Staff announced an increase in missile production.
“It is obvious that right now in December, in 9 months, such work in three shifts gave the Russians results. If we say that in June-July there could be a question that the enemy is unlikely to be able to restore the stocks of their high-precision missiles, now it turns out , that they have the opportunity to replenish their missile arsenals literally “from the wheels”, – explained Kyrichevsky.
The expert noted that in November, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine announced that the Russians would produce 120 X-101 missiles for the entire duration of the war, and three weeks after that, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine announced that it would be twice as much. He added that this could be explained by clarification of the data received by intelligence.
“Or even more unpleasant for us is the fact that the enemy could speed up production in the last few weeks. There is also an alarming trend that the Russians have accelerated the production of combat aircraft in the last two months. Until now, it was believed that under the pressure of sanctions, Russia would in principle not be able to manufacture military aircraft , but, unfortunately, a little bit wrong… It turns out that during October-November, the Russian defense-industrial complex was able to give the Russian army up to ten Su-24 aircraft, a total of up to ten Su-30SM and Su-35S aircraft, and even the Russians were able to produce up to five IL-76MD90 transport planes,” Kyrychevsky said.
According to him, in previous years, Russian aircraft manufacturers consistently disrupted delivery schedules, but now the situation has changed. This also applies to the manufacture of rockets.
“And now, if it turns out that each mass attack for them is two monthly production equivalents of only Kh-101 and Caliber missiles,” then this means that the Russians have a stockpile of missiles for at least 3-5 missile strikes, and that they do not have factors that could stop them. Even if it turns out that the next missile strike will be completely ineffective, the enemy still has the resources for new attacks, and at least until spring we will be in a state of constant permanent missile threat,” explained Ivan Kyrychevsky.
How many missiles are left in Russia: the latest news
The Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov stated that Russia has missiles left for three or four more massive attacks.
On December 6, the Minister of Defense of our country, Oleksiy Reznikov, said that the Russian Federation had up to 30% of the pre-war Kalibr missiles left.
The Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine reported on December 12 that Ukraine is at risk of five more waves of massive missile attacks from the Russian Federation.