Russian media bloggers look demoralized by the Kremlin’s prospects.
Russia is preparing to step up its attacks in eastern Ukraine over the next few weeks. However, it does not have the resources necessary to launch such a large-scale offensive operation.
Analysts of the Institute for the Study of War point out that Russian media bloggers seem demoralized by the Kremlin’s prospects for a major offensive. They accuse Putin administration officials of creating unrealistic expectations.
“Information about the tactical failures of the occupiers around Vugledar in the Donetsk region further weakened the Russians’ belief that their troops are capable of launching a decisive offensive operation,” the experts added in the report.
Thus, one of the militiamen close to the Kremlin claimed that the Russians did not manage to advance quickly in the first days near Vugledar. In addition, the occupiers lost the initiative due to the rapid transfer of reserves by Ukrainian forces to this area.
“Milblogger reacted to the viral footage of the Ukrainian Armed Forces destroying a disorderly column of Russian mechanized troops in the Vugledar area, assuming that the offensive there had ended,” the analysts explained.
The Institute for the Study of War believes that the media bloggers used the footage to criticize the Russian military command for repeating the same failures that plagued the Russian army during the war against Ukraine.
War in Ukraine: losses of the Russian Federation
As of the morning of February 11, the total combat losses of the occupying forces of the Russian Federation since the beginning of the full-scale invasion amounted to about 136.8 people. The aggressor also lost 3,267 tanks (9 per day), 6,474 armored fighting vehicles (3 per day), 2,279 artillery systems (19 per day), 463 rocket salvo systems;
According to the data of the Dutch OSINT project Oryx, the Russian invaders lost at least 103 units of military equipment in just three days of the offensive near Vugledar and Avdiivka. Among the losses were 36 combat tanks.
According to British intelligence, in recent weeks the Russian occupiers have suffered particularly heavy losses in the area of Bakhmut and Vugledar. They had little success in this.