The scenario starts in February 2024.
NATO is preparing for a major Russian attack on its eastern flank. Bild writes about this with reference to a secret Bundeswehr document.
A secret German Defense Ministry document outlines possible developments between Russia and NATO, culminating in the deployment of hundreds of thousands of NATO troops and the imminent outbreak of war in the summer of 2025.
In particular, it is indicated that the scenario will start in February 2024, when Russia allegedly launches another wave of mobilization and drafts an additional 200 thousand people into the army. Then it is assumed that the Kremlin will allegedly launch a spring offensive in Ukraine, which by June, according to the scenario from the document, will throw the Ukrainian army back.
Russia’s hidden attack on the West, according to the scenario, will begin in July, and over time it will become more obvious. The Bendestag simulates cyberattacks and other forms of hybrid warfare during this period, mainly in the Baltic states, as well as clashes that Russia uses as a pretext to launch large-scale exercises on its territory and in Belarus.
Further, according to the scenario, an escalation may occur in October if Russia transfers troops and medium-range missiles to Kaliningrad. And from December 2024, an artificially caused “border conflict” and “unrest with numerous casualties” are expected in the area of the “Suwalki Corridor.”
It also simulates that, at a time when the US could be left leaderless for weeks after the election, Russia, with the support of Belarus, repeats the 2014 invasion of Ukraine on NATO territory. And in May 2025, NATO decides on containment measures; on “Day X” NATO transfers 300,000 military personnel, including 30,000 Bundeswehr soldiers, to the eastern flank.
When will the war in Ukraine end – NATO forecast
Let us remind you that NATO Deputy Secretary General Mircea Geoana said that the war between Russia and Ukraine will last for a long time and probably will not end even in 2025.
He noted that “perhaps we were too full of enthusiasm and optimism at the start of the Ukrainian offensive last spring” and called for “preparing for a protracted war.”
