Medium-intensity attacks of 30-40 missiles are the most optimal for the occupiers, and it is at this level that they can attack all winter.
On the morning of January 13, the Russians launched another massive missile attack on Ukraine.
As military expert Colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in reserve Roman Svitan told Channel 24, almost everything was flying: Shaheds, Kinzhal ballistic missiles, Kh-59, Kh-31, Iskander, Kh-101, Kh-555. Air defense forces shot down 8 missiles, and another 20 electronic warfare systems were diverted from the target. Svitan noted that there is no point in shooting down such missiles if the target is withdrawn and it falls into the field.
According to the expert, it was a medium-intensity attack.
“This is the best option for Russians and they understand it,” he said.
According to him, it takes more than a month to prepare for a large attack of more than 100 missiles. That is why it is unlikely that the occupiers will repeat it so often. But medium-intensity attacks with 30-40 missiles can be prepared in about 5-7 days.
And it is with this intensity, the expert added, that the Russians can strike throughout the winter.
Missile attack on Ukraine – expert assessment
As military expert Alexander Kovalenko noted, today’s missile attack confirms that the occupiers maintain a fetish for dates and their goal is to schedule missile attacks on holidays. This does not exclude a threat to Epiphany, which, according to the tradition of the Russian Orthodox Church, will be on January 19.
In addition, he drew attention to the limited ammunition capacity of the Kh-101/555/55 missiles that were used during this strike. And this, according to Kovalenko, confirms the Russians’ transition to the practice of using these missiles in smaller quantities due to their limited accumulated reserves.
Kovalenko also believes that the direction of the attack on Western Ukraine may indicate an attempt by the Russians to discover the location of the future deployment of the F-16 and strike it ahead of the curve.