The analyst explained what such a landing might look like.
Russia will not use airborne tactics deep in the rear of Ukrainian troops, as this will result in nothing but high casualties. This opinion was expressed by military observer Roman Svitan.
“Well, what’s the point of landing troops in Chernigov? Let’s say a few hundred people. What will they do? Well, they’ll capture the rampart, hold out there for a few days, and they’ll be destroyed. The Russians don’t have a strategic goal there to capture our northern territories,” says the analyst.
In his opinion, Russia will not try to seize the north of Ukraine until it solves for itself the problem with the Kherson, Zaporozhye, Donetsk and Lugansk regions, which Putin has already included in the Russian constitution.
At the same time, Svitan admitted that Russia could use airborne tactics to drop sabotage and reconnaissance groups into the Ukrainian rear. However, these will be numerically small groups (6-8 people) who simply need to somehow overcome the defensive line on the border.
At the same time, the analyst noted that information about Russia’s preparation of airborne brigades is not necessarily fake. Perhaps the Russian Ministry of Defense has decided to restore the airborne troops, which were virtually destroyed in the first months of the war.
War in Ukraine: threat of Russian landing
As wrote, in mid-January the American Institute for the Study of War wrote that Russia was preparing air assault brigades for landing in the Ukrainian rear – behind the defense lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Allegedly, this is how the Russians want to get out of the positional deadlock at the front, where advances are minimal and there are huge losses.
Military expert Alexander Musienko expressed doubt that the Russians could attempt to land in the Ukrainian rear. However, he noted that at the front, the command always takes into account the possibility that the enemy will try to land a helicopter assault force behind the backs of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
