A quick retreat of Russia in the war against Ukraine should not be expected.
Director of the Ukrainian non-governmental analytical organization Center for Army Research, Conversion and Disarmament Valentyn Badrak says that there are fewer and fewer new weapons left in Russia and the occupiers should soon switch to Soviet-made aircraft, since the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already neutralized about a third of new aircraft.
He spoke about this in an interview with Forbes .
The specialist notes that Russia can fight for 6 to 12 months.
“You shouldn’t hope for a speedy retreat either. Russia is a rather powerful and large country, the inertia of its fall can last for a long time. According to the forecasts of the Center for Army Research, Conversion and Disarmament, Russia is capable of fighting from 6 to 12 months if the pressure of Western countries does not increase, if it is even less,” the expert says.
According to him, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already neutralized about a third of the new aircraft, including the Su-35 and Su-34 bombers. Also, the resource of powerful aviation missiles X “-101 and X-555 has almost dried up.
“That’s why there are such indiscriminate bombings with the destruction of civilian infrastructure. The Russian army has begun using Bastion anti-ship systems with Onyx missiles. These missiles hit Odessa a few days ago. Experts say Onyx missiles are too expensive to be used to destroy the airstrip. runway. This shows how big the shortage is in Russia,” Badrak explained.
He added that there are many warehouses in the occupiers, where equipment is now mothballed, although it is much older, but still suitable for capsizing to the front.
Recall that the historian Yaroslav Hrytsak said that Russia after the defeat in the war against Ukraine will be very weakened, will slide down to the level of 1991. The aggressor country will ask the West to lift economic sanctions in response to political decisions.
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